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Joanne's avatar

THANK YOU! I wrote over 200 post cards to WI voters and just donated to you. Thank you thank you!

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Andy Bechhoefer's avatar

Is the benchmark a hypothetical 50-50 race? It could lead to some confusion if it is not.

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Laurence's avatar

It is, yes. All county margins from 2024 are adjusted about three quarters of a percentage point to Crawford to establish the benchmark.

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Greg Pickle's avatar

I've liked your articles so far, but I am prejudiced, as I've been reading you for years. I've not tried this spreadsheet thing before, but I'm game. Do you know of anything similar for those 2 special House elections in Florida?

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G. Elliott Morris's avatar

Thanks Greg! Haven't seen anyone make benchmarks for those, sorry. If I get around to it or have something to share, you can find it on X/Bsky or the Downballot feed live!

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