Strength In Numbers

Strength In Numbers

Home
Podcast
Chat
Premium
Data Hub
Poll Results
Projects
Book
Contact
Community
Archive
About
The mystery variable that explains stubbornly low consumer sentiment
Plus, more on moderation and AI “polls.” Your weekly political data roundup for April 12, 2026.
 • G. Elliott Morris
Graphs about gas prices and presidential approval
History says gas prices have a small impact on presidential approval — but it's not equal for every president
 • G. Elliott Morris
44:21
Trump is underwater in every competitive House and Senate seat
Plus: A recap of the Wisconsin elections, and will Americans support Trump's ceasefire in Iran?
 • G. Elliott Morris and David Nir
4:20
Democrats just posted their biggest swings of the 2026 cycle in WI and GA
Democrats did better in elections on Tuesday than they did on average in 2025 and 2026 so far
 • G. Elliott Morris
New polling: Trump is underwater in 135 GOP House and Senate seats
New local polling estimates show Trump is unpopular even in deep red districts, as calls for war powers reform and impeachment swirl in DC
 • G. Elliott Morris
Quality data. Accurate analysis. New posts 2-4x/week. Subscribe to get them in your inbox:
Strength In Numbers
Strength In Numbers
Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris.
Top posts
Only 8% of "moderates" actually want moderation
Two new studies reveal very few voters want a genuinely centrist political party — and moderation's electoral payoff is smaller, riskier, and less…
 • G. Elliott Morris
Deep dive episode: Voters say they want "somebody that's for us"
What a focus group with disengaged voters in Michigan reveals about economic desperation, anti-system politics, why Trump won, and the road to 2026/28
 • G. Elliott Morris
35:13
Why Democrats are suddenly winning back the left — and the "double-haters"
Plus, the share of Americans calling themselves Republicans just hit a decade low. Your weekly political data roundup for April 5, 2026.
 • G. Elliott Morris
The six big events that have dragged down Donald Trump's approval rating
At -21.4, the president's net rating has sunk to Watergate and Katrina levels — and one issue is driving most of the decline
 • G. Elliott Morris
Trump hits record polling lows over Iran, economic anxiety
Plus, Pam Bondi is out as Attorney General, and Trump's numbers on tariffs at the anniversary of "Liberation Day"
 • G. Elliott Morris and David Nir
47:04
Trump is 20+ points underwater. So why aren't Democrats up 20 for the midterms?
Part of the answer is that people are comparing different electorates. But many softer Trump disapprovers still aren't ready to vote Democratic
 • G. Elliott Morris
Recovering today
Trying not to overdose on DayQuil
 • G. Elliott Morris
My links
Why subscribe?
Support independent, data-driven journalism
My personal website
STRENGTH IN NUMBERS, the book
Other writing
Words at FiveThirtyEight, ABC, The Economist, NYT etc
Community
FiftyPlusOne!
Polls and polling averages for every imaginable topic
The Downballot
Good Authority
Mischiefs of Faction
Recommendations
View all 19
Opinion Today
Opinion Today
Opinion Today
Good Politics/Bad Politics
Good Politics/Bad Politics
Jonathan Bernstein
The Downballot
The Downballot
David Nir
Social Notes by Ryan Enos
Social Notes by Ryan Enos
Ryan Enos
Politics Extra
Politics Extra
Taegan Goddard
The latest from
G. Elliott Morris
The mystery variable that explains stubbornly low consumer sentiment
User's avatar

Recent posts

View all
5:11
Bonus episode: Democrats' generic ballot underperformance, and the GOP’s midterm convention
Answering two reader questions that got left out of the podcast this week
 • G. Elliott Morris
Poll: 1 out of 8 Trump voters has buyer’s remorse about 2024
In our new poll, 13% of Donald Trump's 2024 voters say they regret their vote last cycle. In a hypothetical redo, Kamala Harris wins by nearly 3 points.
 • G. Elliott Morris
49:24
Why we trust real polls over prediction markets
Elliott and David prefer data about humans over betting markets and AI polls
 • G. Elliott Morris and David Nir
Poll: Americans reject ICE at airports, want Trump to end the war in Iran
A special Strength In Numbers/Verasight flash poll finds majorities oppose deploying ICE to airports, blame Trump for disruptions, and overwhelmingly…
 • G. Elliott Morris
6:28
Bonus: Trump's approval stuck at record low as approval on prices sinks to -39
A look at the toplines of our new monthly polling data
 • G. Elliott Morris
NEW POLL: Trump's approval stuck at record low as approval on prices sinks to -39
Our new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats leading by 6 on the generic ballot, and Trump's approval on prices falling to its worst level…
 • G. Elliott Morris
CNN's "100% MAGA Trump approval" segment omits key nuance for virality
Plus, voters overwhelmingly oppose putting boots on the ground in Iran. Your weekly political data roundup for March 22, 2026.
 • G. Elliott Morris
New poll: 58% of voters say the war in Iran is a bad use of taxpayer dollars
61% of Americans, including 1 out of 3 Republicans, say they would oppose the war if it raises gas prices (it has)
 • G. Elliott Morris

Subscribe

Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris.
AboutArchiveRecommendationsSitemap
Strength In Numbers
© 2026 G. Elliott Morris · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture