8 Comments
User's avatar
Laurence's avatar

Harry's chart, as ever, is useful as reference, although it should probably be updated with two more data points at the ~43% approval mark with the y-coordinate at –40 and –9, respectively.

I suppose I could create it myself in Excel, but with your newfound time, I think it would be great if you could make a second version of the chart in a subsequent post where the incumbent's approval rating is plotted against the absolute number of seats won beginning from 1994. (I assumed there would be a tighter correlation there, but after refreshing a bit, I've rewritten this very sentence — Democrats dominated the House from 1958 to 1992, which complicates things and might have driven Harry to create his version of the famed chart in 2017.)

Expand full comment
​​​​'s avatar

'Setting aside everything else going on with the stage IV pancreatic cancer, the rest of the patient's life could follow the normal patterns.'

Expand full comment
Joe Harrington's avatar

During Trump's first term the economy was buoyed by indulgent Federal Reserve policy in the form of quantitative easing and very low interest rates. That couldn't last, and Joe Biden necessarily faced headwinds from the Fed. The Fed is on a sensible course now that will neither impede nor aid Trump, although he will probably blame it for any economic troubles we confront.

Expand full comment
Jay Morris's avatar

The truly sad fact that half of voters would rather vote for a known fraud and felon than a Black Woman surely eclipsed any vague notion of what improvements trump might make to the economy, but I am glad that some voters may be coming to their senses.(eight years too late)

Expand full comment
Aaron’s Party (Come Get It)'s avatar

Dems are also hugely unpopular right now. This whole situation stinks!

Expand full comment
David Nir's avatar

Very good piece. Just FYI, your section headers are both numbered "1" (or "I").

Expand full comment
G. Elliott Morris's avatar

Thanks, working on getting a non-AI copy editor

Expand full comment
Michael Califra's avatar

Why, it's almost as if Americans actually like big gub'ment after all.

Expand full comment