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Can Democrats outrun their party’s brand problem? I tested three proposed fixes
A new survey experiment finds Democrats outrun the party baseline by showing they’re independent of it — using issue positions, biography, or otherwise
Jun 30
•
G. Elliott Morris
125
27
25
America's most (and least) popular politicians in 2026
Barack Obama, Bernie Sanders, and Zohran Mamdani top the list, while Tucker Carlson and Chuck Schumer bring up the rear
Jun 29
•
G. Elliott Morris
213
21
49
Poll: 53% of Americans see grounds to impeach Trump
Most name corruption and abuse of power as his top offenses — and one in five say the war in Iran is impeachment-worthy
Jun 25
•
G. Elliott Morris
262
13
61
Poll: Only 18% think U.S. achieved its goals in Iran, as Trump's approval hovers at historic low
59% support the deal to end the war with Iran, but only 18% think the U.S. achieved its goals in the conflict — and a majority says Trump never should…
Jun 24
•
G. Elliott Morris
190
4
47
Beware phantom poll swings (and how to spot them)
Democrats' lead on the House generic ballot "dropped" 1-2 points over the last month. It will likely go back up, but this is a good reminder that even…
Jun 23
•
G. Elliott Morris
125
7
23
Democrats lead by 13 points on trust to handle voters' top problems
This poll question has predicted all but one election since 1948. It suggests Democrats could win by 8-12 points in November.
Jun 16
•
G. Elliott Morris
210
9
43
Democratic voters want the party to be more moderate — and more socialist?
The trouble with polling about ideological labels
Jun 12
•
G. Elliott Morris
221
30
58
Yes, Americans are polarized. But that doesn't prevent wave elections
A popular measure of intra-party loyalty in polls artificially inflates electoral stability and ignores the crucial role that turnout plays in close…
Jun 9
•
G. Elliott Morris
159
17
26
Reduced schedule for paternity leave
Article frequency will drop to 1x a week for 6-8 weeks, but our June and July polls will come out as normal!
Jun 5
•
G. Elliott Morris
309
145
14
How many Trump voters does James Talarico need in order to win the Texas U.S. Senate race?
The math isn't as hard as people think. Democrats need to flip about 1 in 15 Republicans — turnout and independents do the rest.
Jun 2
•
G. Elliott Morris
231
43
43
May 2026
Why so much election analysis is basically useless
A race decided by a point and a half can be blamed on almost anything — and that severely limits what we can learn for the future
May 29
•
G. Elliott Morris
230
41
58
Americans blame Trump for the cost-of-living crisis. Here's what they want done about it.
A new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds 58% of Americans say Trump has made the economy worse — and voters are blaming him, not Biden, for the…
May 27
•
G. Elliott Morris
200
10
53
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