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It's the prices, stupid
Consumer sentiment is at an all-time low because prices are at an all-time high. The UMich index isn't broken, popular government data just offer an…
Apr 14
•
G. Elliott Morris
211
35
49
The mystery variable that explains stubbornly low consumer sentiment
Plus, more on moderation and AI “polls.” Your weekly political data roundup for April 12, 2026.
Apr 12
•
G. Elliott Morris
192
21
39
Graphs about gas prices and presidential approval
History says gas prices have a small impact on presidential approval — but it's not equal for every president
Apr 10
•
G. Elliott Morris
138
13
27
Trump is underwater in every competitive House and Senate seat
Plus: A recap of the Wisconsin elections, and will Americans support Trump's ceasefire in Iran?
Apr 9
•
G. Elliott Morris
and
David Nir
148
3
19
44:21
Democrats just posted their biggest swings of the 2026 cycle in WI and GA
Democrats did better in elections on Tuesday than they did on average in 2025 and 2026 so far
Apr 8
•
G. Elliott Morris
318
6
81
4:20
New polling: Trump is underwater in 135 GOP House and Senate seats
New local polling estimates show Trump is unpopular even in deep red districts, as calls for war powers reform and impeachment swirl in DC
Apr 7
•
G. Elliott Morris
235
9
62
Only 8% of "moderates" actually want moderation
Two new studies reveal very few voters want a genuinely centrist political party — and moderation's electoral payoff is smaller, riskier, and less…
Apr 7
•
G. Elliott Morris
141
24
42
Deep dive episode: Voters say they want "somebody that's for us"
What a focus group with disengaged voters in Michigan reveals about economic desperation, anti-system politics, why Trump won, and the road to 2026/28
Apr 6
•
G. Elliott Morris
137
12
25
35:13
Why Democrats are suddenly winning back the left — and the "double-haters"
Plus, the share of Americans calling themselves Republicans just hit a decade low. Your weekly political data roundup for April 5, 2026.
Apr 5
•
G. Elliott Morris
212
18
38
The six big events that have dragged down Donald Trump's approval rating
At -21.4, the president's net rating has sunk to Watergate and Katrina levels — and one issue is driving most of the decline
Apr 3
•
G. Elliott Morris
221
17
46
Trump hits record polling lows over Iran, economic anxiety
Plus, Pam Bondi is out as Attorney General, and Trump's numbers on tariffs at the anniversary of "Liberation Day"
Apr 2
•
G. Elliott Morris
and
David Nir
144
6
25
47:04
Trump is 20+ points underwater. So why aren't Democrats up 20 for the midterms?
Part of the answer is that people are comparing different electorates. But many softer Trump disapprovers still aren't ready to vote Democratic
Apr 1
•
G. Elliott Morris
133
22
32
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