Archive - Strength In Numbers

58% say the U.S. is worse off under Trump vs Biden, 24% say it’s better

Plus, our new poll shows by a 56-26 margin, voters want Congress to be a check on Trump — including a quarter of Republicans

10 hrs ago • G. Elliott Morris

Is this what a "blue wave" feels like?

Two weeks after the GOP’s first-of-its-kind midterm convention, Democrats have reached a new high in the race for the House and Senate. Are the polls…

Sep 24 • G. Elliott Morris

1:05:36

Poll: Trump's approval hits a new low of 33% as Republicans sour; Democrats lead House vote by 10 with likely voters

The president's approval fell 11 points among Republicans last month, as he set another record low on prices at 21% approve

Sep 23 • G. Elliott Morris

Big survey results drop tomorrow

And I'm delaying this week's deep dive for poll week

Sep 22 • G. Elliott Morris

How to update your beliefs with new polling data, the Strength In Numbers way

Plus, just 11% of Americans want an AI data center built in their town. Your weekly political data roundup for September 20, 2026.

Sep 20 • G. Elliott Morris

The race raters are lowballing the Democrats

Based on my analysis of their historical ratings, Cook, Inside Elections and Sabato’s Crystal Ball are probably underestimating Democrats' House win…

Sep 18 • G. Elliott Morris

The blue wave is getting bigger

And this was all utterly predictable by the “fundamentals.” Plus, are the polls underestimating *Democrats* for once?

Sep 17 • G. Elliott Morris

51:29

Why polls might be underestimating *Democrats*, not Republicans

Potential bias in how voters recall voting in 2024 costs Democrats about a point of support. Surveys of registered voters might also underestimate the…

Sep 15 • G. Elliott Morris

If Democrats win, one reason will be great recruitment

Plus, Democrats hit +7 in our generic ballot average for the first time this cycle. Your weekly political data roundup for September 13, 2026.

Sep 13 • G. Elliott Morris

Everyone is wrong about low-turnout voters

They care most about affordability, and disapprove of Trump’s job as president at much higher rate than engaged voters — including among Republicans

Sep 11 • G. Elliott Morris

Republicans who think "Trumpapalooza" will work misunderstand why Trump won in 2024

Disaffected Trump voters like the man less than motivated MAGA partisans

Sep 10 • G. Elliott Morris and David Nir

1:03:41

The flawed thinking behind “Trumpapalooza”

The president thinks he can activate lower-turnout voters who like his agenda. But polls show his former supporters oppose his key policies, and don’t…

Sep 10 • G. Elliott Morris

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts